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Mine just got checked a couple days ago, and it's nowhere near replacement ... like not even close. Mine is 25k miles, and it's a February 2020 build, so coming up on 3.5 years
When my 3-year original maintenance warranty went out, I inquired about the extended service maintenance package, too, but my BMW service advisor just told me that it would be smart to purchase it right when I needed new brakes pads/rotors - yes, they specifically cited brake service as they said that would be the only big ticket item that makes the extended package worth it for most people.
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